Tomorrow Virginia Democrats (and a few assorted Republicans) will go to the polls to select the Democratic nominees for Governor and Lt. Governor. Their Attorney General nomination is decided as Delegate Steve Shannon is unopposed.
As of this writing, polls show that Senator Creigh Deeds has a commanding lead over both former DNC Chair Terry McAuliffe and former Delegate Brian Moran. No doubt the endorsement from The Washington Post lit a fire under the comparatively underfunded Deeds campaign. And, as many Republicans are prone to admit, Senator Creigh Deeds may offer the strongest challenge to Bob McDonnell. Just four years ago, only a few hundred votes sent McDonnell to the Attorney General’s office and not Deeds.
So some of my friends on the right have been advocating a Virginia version of Limbaugh’s “Operation Chaos” from last year. Since the primary tomorrow is an open primary, anyone can vote. So the strategy has been to vote for Brian Moran who was seen as the least threatening. After all McAuliffe had a seemingly bottomless bank account which is how he’s been on our televisions around the clock for months now.
After giving it some thought. I just can’t do it. I just can’t cross over and vote in the Democratic primary. For one thing, I don’t want to be on the DPV mailing list.
But more importantly, it’s just not right. Using the “but they do it to us all the time” argument just doesn’t wash. I mean, if we presume to be the “better” party, the party of values, the party of morals, shouldn’t we act like it?
Are we so afraid that our candidates are so weak that we need to pray for the weakest opposition? Personally I think that the ticket of Bob McDonnell, Bill Bolling and Ken Cuccinelli is the strongest the GOP has offered in some time.
Besides, haven’t we learned that demonizing your opponent is not the way to win an election? Yes, you point our your opponents flaws and failed policies. But at the same time you have to offer a compelling argument for your candidate. If running a campaign of “this is why you shouldn’t vote for him” was all that effective, we’d be voting for the replacement to Governor Kilgore, not Governor Kaine.
Sorry, somebody needs to say it.
My prediction for tomorrow? No numbers, but I believe the Democratic ticket will turn out to be Creigh Deeds, Jody Wagner and Steve Shannon. I also could be wrong. In about 24 hours we’ll know.
What are others saying?
Deeds continues to gain in poll
State Sen. Creigh Deeds appears to be further separating himself from the other two contenders in the June 9 Democratic gubernatorial primary, according to a Public Policy Polling survey released two days before the election.
Primary Hinges On Voter Turnout
Democrats Hoping To Be Governor Going Full Throttle
The Washington Post
With surveys showing remarkable volatility in the race’s final days and election officials predicting low turnout, all three campaigns have agreed that victory will come to the candidate whose supporters are energized enough to visit the polls on a muggy and possibly stormy June day.
Overview of Dems Gov. Candidates
I don’t think Moran will be much of a factor tomorrow and the race will come down to being between McAuliffe and Deeds. I think that McDonnell can beat either of them, but Deeds may be the more difficult of the two.
Could Deeds Pull This Off?
Virginia Republicans keep saying they were all chalked up to flukes, infighting, or macaca… but with McDonnell placing such a heavy price on unity coming out of the 2009 RPV Convention and the traditional bucking of the incumbent party in the White House, the Democrats may be facing one of the strongest challenges yet to their brief eight-year resurgence to power.
Tuesday Prediction Thread
As much as McAuliffe’s money and connections have excited some lib bloggers, I just don’t think he’s excited that many Virginians…
Democratic Primary Theory
The Virginia Conservative
Either way, the good news is, regardless of which Democratic candidate gets the nomination, polls presently indicate that Bob McDonnell should beat all of them.